Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 3390.732465 3633.683406 3876.786315 4137.970727 4410.319577 4685.624460 4984.634235
2025-10-26 2979.078782 3346.172330 3724.281313 4141.648829 4588.253503 5050.689396 5564.573414
2025-11-02 2731.509227 3177.731731 3647.245670 4175.664531 4751.428680 5357.493148 6041.397319
2025-11-09 2504.660474 3005.534140 3542.445804 4156.828467 4836.505235 5561.727987 6390.355745
2025-11-16 2348.848895 2896.542044 3493.239867 4185.810071 4961.859866 5799.308602 6765.998811
2025-11-23 2180.465307 2761.223456 3403.909789 4159.981814 5017.394721 5952.333013 7041.683648
2025-11-30 2087.954235 2705.538673 3398.208009 4222.429448 5166.525384 6204.884031 7424.016857
2025-12-07 1977.655345 2622.336860 3355.109221 4236.866978 5256.721200 6387.717638 7725.318951
2025-12-14 1861.082089 2525.486964 3290.777165 4221.852877 5308.958838 6524.172887 7971.401774
2025-12-21 1723.391325 2396.796555 3183.387425 4151.389502 5292.628377 6578.740789 8121.198699
2025-12-28 1702.949561 2409.202072 3242.178990 4275.307560 5501.349600 6890.570272 8564.506307
2026-01-04 1650.984963 2379.756783 3248.376107 4334.810844 5633.179800 7112.869056 8904.639648
2026-01-11 1573.185984 2316.048393 3211.974458 4343.082954 5705.312703 7267.608197 9169.585837
2026-01-18 1497.761698 2252.388331 3173.293733 4346.716069 5770.618215 7413.682830 9424.378604
2026-01-25 1442.799884 2212.492408 3161.929700 4381.816201 5872.129757 7601.211310 9726.868260
2026-02-01 1365.821886 2140.718107 3108.060654 4362.380903 5906.087869 7707.705449 9933.471573
2026-02-08 1316.160031 2102.878742 3095.271218 4392.284082 5998.632777 7882.783190 10220.235884
2026-02-15 1244.447203 2032.658193 3038.828014 4365.634632 6020.530329 7972.485232 10405.254669
2026-02-22 1216.214595 2020.105831 3055.538266 4430.064688 6153.481538 8194.634883 10747.199772
2026-03-01 1168.801345 1979.314529 3034.089041 4444.959065 6224.450631 8341.788697 10999.683057
2026-03-08 1111.536531 1922.622395 2990.018724 4429.469861 6256.518688 8441.137832 11194.490094
2026-03-15 1034.749585 1835.432140 2903.135100 4356.768735 6215.352554 8450.245757 11279.880251
2026-03-22 1039.067768 1864.242402 2971.165414 4484.613350 6425.958041 8766.186415 11735.155135